Superliga (Romania) · Sun, Sep 6 · 17:30 · SC Oțelul Galați vs FC Rapid București
Likeliest: SC Oțelul Galați win · 49%
A 49% home win. The market says 33%.
17 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
SC Oțelul Galați49%33%+17
OursMarket
Draw24%29%−5
OursMarket
FC Rapid București26%39%−12
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 45% | +6 |
| Both teams score | 51% | 50% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | 61% | +12 |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | 67% | −17 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 71% | +5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | 46% | +19 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SC Oțelul Galați
DrawLossDrawWinDraw
- Aug 28 · at FC Voluntari (A)2-2
- Aug 24 · v FC Argeș Pitești (H)1-0
- Aug 16 · v Universitatea Craiova (H)1-1
- Aug 9 · at FC Petrolul Ploieşti (A)0-1
- Jul 31 · v FC Dinamo București (H)1-1
FC Rapid București
WinDrawLossWinDraw
- Aug 31 · v Universitatea Craiova (H)1-1
- Aug 21 · at FC Petrolul Ploieşti (A)2-0
- Aug 15 · v FC Dinamo București (H)0-1
- Aug 7 · at UTA Arad (A)0-0
- Aug 2 · v CFR 1907 Cluj (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | SC Oțelul Galați | FC Rapid București |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-1 | 3-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 13% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 38% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.