Superliga (Romania) · Fri, Oct 16 · 15:00 · SC Oțelul Galați vs FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc
Likeliest: SC Oțelul Galați win · 49%
A 30% draw. The market says 25%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
SC Oțelul Galați49%57%−8
OursMarket
Draw30%25%+5
OursMarket
FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc21%18%+3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 46% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 55% | 50% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | 82% | −3 |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | 43% | +8 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 75% | −5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 70% | 76% | −6 |
| Expected goals | 1.9 | 0.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SC Oțelul Galați
DrawLossLossLossLoss
- Oct 10 · at FCSB (A)0-1
- Sep 21 · v FC Corvinul Hunedoara (H)2-3
- Sep 14 · at FC Universitatea Cluj (A)0-3
- Sep 6 · v FC Rapid București (H)0-1
- Aug 28 · at FC Voluntari (A)2-2
FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Oct 11 · v Universitatea Craiova (H)0-1
- Sep 21 · at FC Petrolul Ploieşti (A)0-2
- Sep 11 · v FC Dinamo București (H)1-3
- Sep 5 · at UTA Arad (A)1-5
- Aug 29 · v CFR 1907 Cluj (H)2-3
| Last 10 games | SC Oțelul Galați | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-5 | 0-1-9 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-2 | 0-0-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.