Austrian Bundesliga (Austria) · Fri, Oct 23 · 17:30 · SC Rheindorf Altach vs Austria Wien
Likeliest: SC Rheindorf Altach win · 36%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 36% for the home win. The market says 38%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
SC Rheindorf Altach36%38%−2
OursMarket
Draw30%27%+2
OursMarket
Austria Wien34%34%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 49% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 53% | 53% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | 66% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | 62% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 70% | 73% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | 53% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 1.4 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SC Rheindorf Altach
LossLossLossWinLoss
- Oct 18 · at Red Bull Salzburg (A)0-3
- Oct 11 · v Wolfsberger AC (H)3-0
- Sep 19 · at SC Austria Lustenau (A)0-2
- Sep 12 · v Grazer AK 1902 (H)1-2
- Aug 29 · at LASK (A)0-3
Austria Wien
LossWinDrawLossLoss
- Oct 17 · at SV Ried (A)2-3
- Oct 10 · v SK Sturm Graz (H)0-2
- Sep 19 · at Grazer AK 1902 (A)2-2
- Sep 13 · v SC Austria Lustenau (H)2-1
- Sep 2 · v WSG Tirol (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | SC Rheindorf Altach | Austria Wien |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-0-7 | 2-2-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 11% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.