Austrian Bundesliga (Austria) · Sat, Sep 12 · 15:00 · SC Rheindorf Altach vs Grazer AK 1902
Likeliest: SC Rheindorf Altach win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. The market says 44%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
SC Rheindorf Altach43%44%−1
OursMarket
Draw29%28%+1
OursMarket
Grazer AK 190229%29%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 51% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 57% | 55% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | 71% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | 56% | +1 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 72% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | 60% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 1.4 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SC Rheindorf Altach
LossWinLossLossLoss
- Aug 29 · at LASK (A)0-3
- Aug 22 · v TSV Hartberg (H)1-2
- Aug 15 · at SK Sturm Graz (A)0-1
- Aug 7 · v WSG Tirol (H)3-1
- Aug 2 · at SK Rapid Wien (A)0-1
Grazer AK 1902
LossWinLossLossDraw
- Aug 29 · v Wolfsberger AC (H)0-0
- Aug 21 · at SV Ried (A)0-1
- Aug 16 · at SK Rapid Wien (A)0-8
- Aug 8 · v SC Austria Lustenau (H)2-1
- Jul 31 · at LASK (A)0-3
| Last 10 games | SC Rheindorf Altach | Grazer AK 1902 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-0-4 | 1-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.