Austrian Bundesliga (Austria) · Sun, Oct 11 · 12:30 · SC Rheindorf Altach vs Wolfsberger AC
Likeliest: SC Rheindorf Altach win · 46%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. The market says 47%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
SC Rheindorf Altach46%47%−1
OursMarket
Draw27%25%+1
OursMarket
Wolfsberger AC27%28%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 58% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 58% | 59% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 72% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | 53% | +1 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 75% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | 63% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 1.5 | 1.5 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SC Rheindorf Altach
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Sep 19 · at SC Austria Lustenau (A)0-2
- Sep 12 · v Grazer AK 1902 (H)1-2
- Aug 29 · at LASK (A)0-3
- Aug 22 · v TSV Hartberg (H)1-2
- Aug 15 · at SK Sturm Graz (A)0-1
Wolfsberger AC
LossDrawLossLossLoss
- Sep 20 · at SV Ried (A)1-4
- Sep 12 · v SK Rapid Wien (H)0-3
- Sep 1 · v LASK (H)1-3
- Aug 29 · at Grazer AK 1902 (A)0-0
- Aug 15 · at SC Austria Lustenau (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | SC Rheindorf Altach | Wolfsberger AC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-0-6 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 2-1-7 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.