2. Liga (Austria) · Sat, Sep 12 · 13:30 · Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Floridsdorfer AC
Likeliest: Floridsdorfer AC win · 38%
A tight one: we make it 38% for the away win. The market says 37%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz34%37%−3
OursMarket
Draw28%27%+1
OursMarket
Floridsdorfer AC38%37%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 54% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 57% | 56% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 62% | 63% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 66% | 63% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 73% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 47% | 50% | −3 |
| Expected goals | 2.0 | 1.0 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
LossWinDrawWinLoss
- Aug 29 · at Young Violets Austria Wien (A)0-2
- Aug 22 · v Sturm Graz II (H)3-1
- Aug 15 · at ASK Voitsberg (A)0-0
- Aug 8 · v Kapfenberger SV (H)3-2
- Jul 31 · at FC Wacker Innsbruck (A)0-5
Floridsdorfer AC
WinLossDrawWinWin
- Aug 29 · v FC Wacker Innsbruck (H)2-0
- Aug 22 · at Rapid Wien II (A)2-0
- Aug 15 · v SKU Amstetten (H)2-2
- Aug 8 · at Sturm Graz II (A)2-4
- Jul 31 · v SKN St. Pölten (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | Floridsdorfer AC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-2 | 3-1-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.