2. Liga (Austria) · Sat, Aug 8 · 15:30 · Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Kapfenberger SV
Likeliest: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz win · 56%
A 56% home win. The market says 46%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz56%46%+10
OursMarket
Draw24%24%0
OursMarket
Kapfenberger SV21%30%−9
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 63% | −10 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 60% | −3 |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | 70% | +9 |
| Double chance X2 | 44% | 54% | −10 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 76% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | 61% | +12 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Loss
- Jul 31 · at FC Wacker Innsbruck (A)0-5
Kapfenberger SV
Loss
- Jul 31 · v FC Liefering (H)0-4