2. Liga (Austria) · Sat, Aug 22 · 15:30 · Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Sturm Graz II
Likeliest: Sturm Graz II win · 38%
A 38% away win. The market says 30%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz37%44%−8
OursMarket
Draw25%26%−1
OursMarket
Sturm Graz II38%30%+8
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 62% | +6 |
| Both teams score | 55% | 64% | −9 |
| Double chance 1X | 62% | 70% | −8 |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | 56% | +8 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 74% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 49% | 60% | −11 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
LossWinDraw
- Aug 15 · at ASK Voitsberg (A)0-0
- Aug 8 · v Kapfenberger SV (H)3-2
- Jul 31 · at FC Wacker Innsbruck (A)0-5
Sturm Graz II
LossWinLoss
- Aug 15 · v Admira Wacker (H)0-2
- Aug 8 · v Floridsdorfer AC (H)4-2
- Aug 1 · at First Vienna (A)0-4