Premier Division (South Africa) · Sat, Sep 5 · 15:30 · Sekhukhune United vs TS Galaxy
Likeliest: Sekhukhune United win · 52%
We make it 52% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 38%.
14 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sekhukhune United52%43%+10
OursMarket
Draw24%31%−7
OursMarket
TS Galaxy24%27%−3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 38% | +14 |
| Both teams score | 54% | 44% | +11 |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | 73% | +3 |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | 57% | −9 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 69% | +7 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | 62% | +7 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sekhukhune United
DrawWinLossWinLoss
- Aug 25 · at Orlando Pirates (A)0-2
- Aug 15 · v Polokwane City (H)2-0
- Aug 12 · at Kaizer Chiefs (A)0-2
- Aug 1 · v Durban City FC (H)1-0
- May 23 · v Siwelele (H)2-2
TS Galaxy
DrawDrawLossDrawWin
- Aug 25 · at Marumo Gallants FC (A)3-2
- Aug 16 · v Lamontville Golden Arrows (H)0-0
- Aug 11 · v Mamelodi Sundowns (H)2-3
- Aug 2 · at Siwelele FC (A)2-2
- May 23 · at Golden Arrows (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Sekhukhune United | TS Galaxy |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 2-6-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | 1-5-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.