Superliga (Romania) · Fri, Oct 9 · 18:00 · Sepsi OSK vs FC Dinamo București
Likeliest: FC Dinamo București win · 50%
Likely score: 1–2
We make it 54% for both teams to score. The market says 50%.
4 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sepsi OSK19%23%−4
OursMarket
Draw31%29%+2
OursMarket
FC Dinamo București50%48%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 46% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 54% | 50% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 50% | 52% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 81% | 77% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 69% | 71% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 28% | 32% | −5 |
| Expected goals | 1.0 | 1.4 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sepsi OSK
DrawWinLossWinLoss
- Sep 18 · at UTA Arad (A)0-1
- Sep 12 · v CFR 1907 Cluj (H)3-1
- Sep 5 · at FC Botoșani (A)0-5
- Aug 29 · at FC Argeș Pitești (A)1-0
- Aug 23 · v FC Farul Constanța (H)1-1
FC Dinamo București
WinDrawWinWinWin
- Sep 20 · v FC Farul Constanța (H)4-0
- Sep 11 · at FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (A)3-1
- Sep 5 · v FCSB (H)2-1
- Aug 29 · at FC Corvinul Hunedoara (A)1-1
- Aug 22 · v FC Universitatea Cluj (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Sepsi OSK | FC Dinamo București |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-3 | 7-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 2-2-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.