Superliga (Romania) · Sat, Oct 24 · 13:00 · Sepsi OSK vs Universitatea Craiova
Likeliest: Universitatea Craiova win · 61%
Likely score: 0–1
A tight one: we make it 61% for the away win. The market says 61%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sepsi OSK13%16%−3
OursMarket
Draw26%23%+3
OursMarket
Universitatea Craiova61%61%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 51% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 39% | 39% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 87% | 84% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 77% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 18% | 20% | −3 |
| Expected goals | 0.8 | 1.5 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sepsi OSK
LossWinLossLossDraw
- Oct 17 · at FC Petrolul Ploieşti (A)1-1
- Oct 9 · v FC Dinamo București (H)0-2
- Sep 18 · at UTA Arad (A)0-1
- Sep 12 · v CFR 1907 Cluj (H)3-1
- Sep 5 · at FC Botoșani (A)0-5
Universitatea Craiova
WinWinWinDrawWin
- Oct 18 · v FC Farul Constanța (H)2-0
- Oct 15 · v Getafe (H)1-1
- Oct 11 · at FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (A)1-0
- Sep 19 · v FCSB (H)5-0
- Sep 13 · at FC Corvinul Hunedoara (A)1-0
| Last 10 games | Sepsi OSK | Universitatea Craiova |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-5-3 | 6-3-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-1 | 3-4-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.