UEFA Women's Champions League (Europe) · Fri, Aug 7 · 14:00 · Servette FC Chênois Féminin vs FK Aktobe

    Likeliest: Servette FC Chênois Féminin win · 65%

    We make it 47% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 32%.

    14 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.

    Who wins
    Servette FC Chênois Féminin65%71%−6
    OursMarket
    Draw19%17%+2
    OursMarket
    FK Aktobe15%12%+3
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals53%68%−14
    Both teams score56%49%+7
    Double chance 1X85%88%−3
    Double chance X235%29%+6
    Double chance 1281%83%−2
    Draw no bet (home)81%86%−5

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Form
    Servette FC Chênois Féminin
    Win
    • Aug 4 · at Dinamo Minsk FC (A)3-0
    FK Aktobe
    Draw
    • Aug 4 · at Breiðablik Kópavogur (A)1-1

    Every match we have priced today