Swiss Super League (Switzerland) · Sat, Oct 10 · 16:00 · Servette FC vs FC Sion
Likeliest: FC Sion win · 39%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 39% for the away win. The market says 38%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Servette FC34%36%−2
OursMarket
Draw27%25%+2
OursMarket
FC Sion39%38%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 64% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 66% | 66% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 62% | 62% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 66% | 64% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 75% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 47% | 49% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 1.5 | 1.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Servette FC
LossLossWinWinLoss
- Sep 19 · at Young Boys (A)2-3
- Sep 16 · at FC Thun (A)4-2
- Sep 13 · at FC Lausanne-Sport (A)1-0
- Sep 6 · v FC St. Gallen 1879 (H)0-2
- Sep 3 · at FC Lugano (A)0-1
FC Sion
WinWinWinWinDraw
- Sep 19 · v FC Zürich (H)1-1
- Sep 15 · at Grasshopper Club Zürich (A)5-2
- Sep 12 · at FC St. Gallen 1879 (A)3-0
- Sep 6 · v FC Thun (H)3-2
- Sep 3 · at Basel (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | Servette FC | FC Sion |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-5 | 6-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 2.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 11% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 3-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.