Swiss Super League (Switzerland) · Sun, Sep 6 · 12:00 · Servette FC vs FC St. Gallen 1879
Likeliest: Servette FC win · 50%
We make it 43% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 36%.
7 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Servette FC50%44%+6
OursMarket
Draw22%25%−3
OursMarket
FC St. Gallen 187928%31%−3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 64% | −7 |
| Both teams score | 67% | 65% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | 69% | +3 |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | 56% | −6 |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | 75% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | 58% | +6 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Servette FC
LossLossWinDrawLoss
- Sep 3 · at FC Lugano (A)0-1
- Aug 29 · v FC Luzern (H)1-1
- Aug 8 · v Grasshopper Club Zürich (H)2-1
- Aug 1 · at FC Zürich (A)1-2
- Jul 25 · v Basel (H)0-1
FC St. Gallen 1879
WinLossLossLossLoss
- Sep 2 · at Grasshopper Club Zürich (A)0-2
- Aug 30 · v FC Thun (H)3-4
- Aug 27 · v FC Nordsjælland (H)2-3
- Aug 20 · at FC Nordsjælland (A)0-1
- Aug 13 · v Sheriff Tiraspol (H)5-1
| Last 10 games | Servette FC | FC St. Gallen 1879 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-1-3 | 4-1-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 2-0-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.