La Liga (Spain) · Sat, Jan 25 · 17:30 · Sevilla vs Espanyol
Likeliest: Sevilla win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Sevilla45%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Espanyol31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sevilla
LossDrawWin
- Jan 18 · at Girona (A)2-1
- Jan 11 · v Valencia (H)1-1
- Jan 4 · at Almería (A)1-4
Espanyol
DrawWin
- Jan 17 · v Real Valladolid (H)2-1
- Jan 11 · v Leganés (H)1-1