La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Feb 9 · 20:00 · Sevilla vs FC Barcelona
Likeliest: FC Barcelona win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Sevilla30%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
FC Barcelona46%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 40% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sevilla
LossDrawWinDrawDraw
- Feb 1 · at Getafe (A)0-0
- Jan 25 · v Espanyol (H)1-1
- Jan 18 · at Girona (A)2-1
- Jan 11 · v Valencia (H)1-1
- Jan 4 · at Almería (A)1-4
FC Barcelona
WinWinDrawWinWin
- Feb 6 · at Valencia (A)5-0
- Feb 2 · v Deportivo Alavés (H)1-0
- Jan 29 · v Atalanta (H)2-2
- Jan 26 · v Valencia (H)7-1
- Jan 21 · at Benfica (A)5-4
| Last 10 games | Sevilla | FC Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-3-1 | 6-2-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 3.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 63% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 38% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.