La Liga (Spain) · Mon, Feb 24 · 20:00 · Sevilla vs Mallorca
Likeliest: Sevilla win · 55%
A tight one: we make it 55% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Sevilla55%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Mallorca20%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 74% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sevilla
WinDrawDrawLossWin
- Feb 16 · at Real Valladolid (A)4-0
- Feb 9 · v FC Barcelona (H)1-4
- Feb 1 · at Getafe (A)0-0
- Jan 25 · v Espanyol (H)1-1
- Jan 18 · at Girona (A)2-1
Mallorca
LossLossLossDrawWin
- Feb 16 · v Las Palmas (H)3-1
- Feb 10 · v Osasuna (H)1-1
- Feb 1 · at Atlético Madrid (A)0-2
- Jan 25 · v Real Betis (H)0-1
- Jan 20 · at Villarreal (A)0-4
| Last 10 games | Sevilla | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-2 | 1-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.