La Liga (Spain) · Sat, Jan 11 · 20:00 · Sevilla vs Valencia
Likeliest: Sevilla win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Sevilla51%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Valencia23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sevilla
Loss
- Jan 4 · at Almería (A)1-4
Valencia
LossWin
- Jan 7 · at Eldense (A)2-0
- Jan 3 · v Real Madrid (H)1-2