Presidents Cup (UAE) · Thu, Oct 22 · 16:00 · Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Al-Ain
Likeliest: Al-Ain win · 41%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 41% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai34%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Al-Ain41%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 46% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.5 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
DrawDrawWinWinWin
- Oct 17 · v Al-Ain (H)2-0
- Oct 13 · at Al-Ittihad (A)2-1
- Oct 8 · v United (H)2-1
- Oct 2 · v Al-Nasr Dubai (H)1-1
- Sep 19 · at Hatta (A)2-2
Al-Ain
LossLossDrawWinLoss
- Oct 17 · at Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (A)0-2
- Oct 12 · at Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya (A)4-1
- Oct 8 · v Al-Ittihad Kalba (H)0-0
- Oct 2 · v Ajman (H)2-3
- Sep 19 · at Al Wasl (A)2-3
| Last 10 games | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | Al-Ain |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-3-1 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-1-1 | 3-0-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.