Championship (England) · Sat, Dec 20 · 15:00 · Sheffield United vs Birmingham City
Likeliest: Sheffield United win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. The market says 40%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sheffield United43%40%+3
OursMarket
Draw26%28%−2
OursMarket
Birmingham City32%33%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 50% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | 67% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | 60% | −3 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 72% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | 55% | +2 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sheffield United
WinWinWinDrawLoss
- Dec 12 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)0-2
- Dec 9 · v Norwich City (H)1-1
- Dec 6 · v Stoke City (H)4-0
- Nov 29 · at Leicester City (A)3-2
- Nov 26 · v Portsmouth (H)3-0
Birmingham City
DrawWinLossLossDraw
- Dec 13 · v Charlton Athletic (H)1-1
- Dec 9 · at Queens Park Rangers (A)1-2
- Dec 6 · at Southampton (A)1-3
- Dec 1 · v Watford (H)2-1
- Nov 26 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Sheffield United | Birmingham City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-5 | 1-2-7 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Sheffield United form·Birmingham City form·Head-to-head record