Championship (England) · Wed, Apr 22 · 18:45 · Sheffield United vs Blackburn Rovers
Likeliest: Sheffield United win · 54%
We make it 55% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 50%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sheffield United54%51%+2
OursMarket
Draw25%26%−1
OursMarket
Blackburn Rovers22%23%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 50% | −5 |
| Both teams score | 48% | 53% | −5 |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | 77% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | 49% | −2 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 74% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | 69% | +2 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sheffield United
LossDrawLossWinWin
- Apr 18 · at Watford (A)2-0
- Apr 11 · v Hull City (H)2-1
- Apr 6 · at Bristol City (A)0-1
- Apr 3 · v Swansea City (H)3-3
- Mar 21 · v Wrexham (H)1-2
Blackburn Rovers
WinDrawDrawLossDraw
- Apr 17 · v Coventry City (H)1-1
- Apr 14 · at Southampton (A)0-3
- Apr 11 · at Stoke City (A)1-1
- Apr 6 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)0-0
- Apr 3 · at Birmingham City (A)1-0
| Last 10 games | Sheffield United | Blackburn Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 2-5-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-2-4 | 3-1-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Sheffield United form·Blackburn Rovers form·Head-to-head record