Championship (England) · Wed, Feb 25 · 19:45 · Sheffield United vs Coventry City
Likeliest: Sheffield United win · 42%
We make it 62% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 55%.
7 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sheffield United42%38%+4
OursMarket
Draw23%27%−4
OursMarket
Coventry City35%35%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 55% | +7 |
| Both teams score | 63% | 59% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | 65% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | 62% | −4 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 73% | +4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | 52% | +3 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sheffield United
DrawWinLossWinWin
- Feb 22 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)2-1
- Feb 14 · at Portsmouth (A)1-0
- Feb 9 · v Middlesbrough (H)1-2
- Feb 3 · v Oxford United (H)3-1
- Jan 31 · at Millwall (A)1-1
Coventry City
LossLossDrawWinWin
- Feb 21 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)2-0
- Feb 16 · v Middlesbrough (H)3-1
- Feb 7 · v Oxford United (H)0-0
- Jan 31 · at Queens Park Rangers (A)1-2
- Jan 26 · at Norwich City (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Sheffield United | Coventry City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-1-2 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Sheffield United form·Coventry City form·Head-to-head record