Championship (England) · Sat, Nov 1 · 15:00 · Sheffield United vs Derby County
Likeliest: Sheffield United win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Sheffield United52%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Derby County24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sheffield United
LossLossWinWinLoss
- Oct 24 · at Preston North End (A)2-3
- Oct 21 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)3-1
- Oct 18 · v Watford (H)1-0
- Oct 4 · at Hull City (A)0-1
- Sep 30 · v Southampton (H)1-2
Derby County
DrawDrawLossWinWin
- Oct 25 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)1-0
- Oct 21 · v Norwich City (H)1-0
- Oct 18 · at Oxford United (A)0-1
- Oct 4 · v Southampton (H)1-1
- Sep 30 · v Charlton Athletic (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Sheffield United | Derby County |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-0-7 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-6 | 3-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.