Championship (England) · Tue, Dec 9 · 19:45 · Sheffield United vs Norwich City
Likeliest: Sheffield United win · 55%
A 24% away win. The market says 19%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sheffield United55%57%−2
OursMarket
Draw21%24%−3
OursMarket
Norwich City24%19%+5
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 55% | −2 |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | 81% | −5 |
| Double chance X2 | 45% | 43% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | 76% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | 75% | −6 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sheffield United
DrawWinWinWinWin
- Dec 6 · v Stoke City (H)4-0
- Nov 29 · at Leicester City (A)3-2
- Nov 26 · v Portsmouth (H)3-0
- Nov 23 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)3-0
- Nov 8 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)0-0
Norwich City
LossLossDrawWinLoss
- Dec 6 · at Watford (A)2-3
- Nov 29 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)3-1
- Nov 25 · v Oxford United (H)1-1
- Nov 22 · at Birmingham City (A)1-4
- Nov 8 · v Leicester City (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | Sheffield United | Norwich City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-3 | 1-2-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-6 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.