Championship (England) · Sat, Sep 5 · 14:00 · Sheffield United vs Norwich City
Likeliest: Sheffield United win · 49%
A 49% home win. The market says 37%.
12 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sheffield United49%37%+12
OursMarket
Draw24%27%−3
OursMarket
Norwich City28%36%−8
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 53% | +7 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 58% | −2 |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 64% | +8 |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | 63% | −12 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 73% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | 51% | +13 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sheffield United
DrawDrawWinDrawWin
- Sep 1 · v Bolton Wanderers (H)3-2
- Aug 29 · at Cardiff City (A)2-2
- Aug 25 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)2-1
- Aug 22 · at Swansea City (A)0-0
- Aug 15 · v Birmingham City (H)0-0
Norwich City
LossLossWinWinLoss
- Sep 1 · at Stoke City (A)0-1
- Aug 29 · v Burnley (H)4-1
- Aug 25 · at Cardiff City (A)2-1
- Aug 22 · at Millwall (A)0-3
- Aug 15 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | Sheffield United | Norwich City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 5-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-4 | 5-0-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.