Championship (England) · Sat, Apr 25 · 14:00 · Sheffield United vs Preston North End
Likeliest: Sheffield United win · 51%
We make it 52% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 43%.
9 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sheffield United51%58%−7
OursMarket
Draw25%22%+3
OursMarket
Preston North End24%20%+4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 57% | −9 |
| Both teams score | 49% | 56% | −6 |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | 80% | −4 |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | 42% | +7 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 78% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | 74% | −7 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sheffield United
DrawLossWinWinLoss
- Apr 22 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)1-3
- Apr 18 · at Watford (A)2-0
- Apr 11 · v Hull City (H)2-1
- Apr 6 · at Bristol City (A)0-1
- Apr 3 · v Swansea City (H)3-3
Preston North End
DrawDrawWinLossLoss
- Apr 22 · at Birmingham City (A)1-2
- Apr 18 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)0-2
- Apr 11 · at Charlton Athletic (A)2-1
- Apr 6 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)1-1
- Apr 3 · at Leicester City (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | Sheffield United | Preston North End |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 2-2-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-2-4 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.