Championship (England) · Sun, Feb 22 · 12:00 · Sheffield United vs Sheffield Wednesday
Likeliest: Sheffield United win · 57%
A 21% away win. The market says 6%.
15 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sheffield United57%82%−25
OursMarket
Draw22%12%+10
OursMarket
Sheffield Wednesday21%6%+15
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 66% | −7 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 42% | +15 |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | 94% | −15 |
| Double chance X2 | 43% | 18% | +25 |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | 88% | −10 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | 93% | −20 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sheffield United
WinDrawWinLossWin
- Feb 14 · at Portsmouth (A)1-0
- Feb 9 · v Middlesbrough (H)1-2
- Feb 3 · v Oxford United (H)3-1
- Jan 31 · at Millwall (A)1-1
- Jan 24 · v Ipswich Town (H)3-1
Sheffield Wednesday
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Feb 14 · v Millwall (H)1-2
- Feb 8 · at Swansea City (A)0-4
- Feb 3 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)0-1
- Jan 31 · v Wrexham (H)0-1
- Jan 24 · at Bristol City (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Sheffield United | Sheffield Wednesday |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 0-0-10 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 0.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 10% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-2-2 | 0-2-8 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Sheffield United form·Sheffield Wednesday form·Head-to-head record