Championship (England) · Sun, Sep 13 · 11:00 · Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton
Likeliest: Wolverhampton win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the away win. The market says 44%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sheffield United27%29%−2
OursMarket
Draw28%27%+2
OursMarket
Wolverhampton45%44%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 55% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 61% | 59% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 55% | 56% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 73% | 71% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 73% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 37% | 40% | −3 |
| Expected goals | 1.7 | 1.7 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sheffield United
WinDrawWinLossWin
- Sep 8 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)2-1
- Sep 5 · v Norwich City (H)1-3
- Sep 1 · v Bolton Wanderers (H)3-2
- Aug 29 · at Cardiff City (A)2-2
- Aug 25 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)2-1
Wolverhampton
WinWinWinLossDraw
- Sep 6 · at Birmingham City (A)2-2
- Sep 1 · at West Ham United (A)2-4
- Aug 29 · v Stoke City (H)4-1
- Aug 25 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)2-0
- Aug 22 · at Preston North End (A)3-1
| Last 10 games | Sheffield United | Wolverhampton |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 4-5-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-3-5 | 2-4-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.