Championship (England) · Mon, Dec 29 · 19:45 · Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackburn Rovers
Likeliest: Blackburn Rovers win · 40%
A 33% home win. The market says 21%.
13 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sheffield Wednesday33%21%+13
OursMarket
Draw27%26%+1
OursMarket
Blackburn Rovers40%53%−14
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 47% | −1 |
| Both teams score | 52% | 49% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 60% | 47% | +14 |
| Double chance X2 | 67% | 79% | −13 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 74% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 46% | 28% | +18 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sheffield Wednesday
LossDrawLossLossDraw
- Dec 26 · v Hull City (H)2-2
- Dec 20 · at Ipswich Town (A)1-3
- Dec 15 · v Derby County (H)0-3
- Dec 9 · at Watford (A)1-1
- Nov 29 · v Preston North End (H)2-3
Blackburn Rovers
DrawDrawLossWinDraw
- Dec 26 · at Middlesbrough (A)0-0
- Dec 20 · v Millwall (H)2-0
- Dec 13 · at Portsmouth (A)1-2
- Dec 9 · v Oxford United (H)1-1
- Dec 2 · v Ipswich Town (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Sheffield Wednesday | Blackburn Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-4-6 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 0-3-7 | 5-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Sheffield Wednesday form·Blackburn Rovers form·Head-to-head record