League One (England) · Sat, Aug 29 · 14:00 · Sheffield Wednesday vs Bromley
Likeliest: Bromley win · 42%
A 42% away win. The market says 23%.
19 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sheffield Wednesday33%52%−18
OursMarket
Draw25%26%−1
OursMarket
Bromley42%23%+19
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 52% | −7 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 52% | −2 |
| Double chance 1X | 58% | 77% | −19 |
| Double chance X2 | 67% | 48% | +18 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 74% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 44% | 69% | −25 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sheffield Wednesday
WinWinWinLossLoss
- Aug 25 · v Wolverhampton (H)0-2
- Aug 20 · v Bradford City (H)0-1
- Aug 15 · at Leyton Orient (A)2-1
- Aug 8 · v Bolton Wanderers (H)1-0
- May 2 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)2-1
Bromley
LossWinDrawWinDraw
- Aug 22 · v Cambridge United (H)1-1
- Aug 15 · at Barnsley (A)1-0
- Aug 8 · v Reading (H)1-1
- May 2 · v Walsall (H)3-1
- Apr 23 · at Salford City (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Sheffield Wednesday | Bromley |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-3-5 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.