Championship (England) · Fri, Dec 26 · 15:00 · Sheffield Wednesday vs Hull City
Likeliest: Hull City win · 42%
A 34% home win. The market says 24%.
9 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sheffield Wednesday34%24%+9
OursMarket
Draw25%26%−1
OursMarket
Hull City42%50%−8
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 53% | +5 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 56% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 58% | 50% | +8 |
| Double chance X2 | 66% | 76% | −9 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 74% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 45% | 33% | +12 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sheffield Wednesday
LossLossDrawLossLoss
- Dec 20 · at Ipswich Town (A)1-3
- Dec 15 · v Derby County (H)0-3
- Dec 9 · at Watford (A)1-1
- Nov 29 · v Preston North End (H)2-3
- Nov 26 · at Millwall (A)0-1
Hull City
WinLossWinWinWin
- Dec 20 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)1-0
- Dec 13 · at Millwall (A)3-1
- Dec 10 · v Wrexham (H)2-0
- Dec 5 · v Middlesbrough (H)1-4
- Nov 29 · at Stoke City (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | Sheffield Wednesday | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-3-7 | 6-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 0-2-8 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.