Championship (England) · Sun, Nov 23 · 12:00 · Sheffield Wednesday vs Sheffield United
Likeliest: Sheffield Wednesday win · 44%
A 44% home win. The market says 26%.
18 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sheffield Wednesday44%26%+18
OursMarket
Draw25%27%−2
OursMarket
Sheffield United31%47%−16
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 47% | +9 |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | 53% | +16 |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | 74% | −18 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 73% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | 36% | +23 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sheffield Wednesday
LossLossDrawDrawLoss
- Nov 8 · at Southampton (A)1-3
- Nov 5 · v Norwich City (H)1-1
- Nov 1 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)0-0
- Oct 25 · v Oxford United (H)1-2
- Oct 22 · v Middlesbrough (H)0-1
Sheffield United
WinLossLossLossDraw
- Nov 8 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)0-0
- Nov 4 · at Coventry City (A)1-3
- Nov 1 · v Derby County (H)1-3
- Oct 24 · at Preston North End (A)2-3
- Oct 21 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)3-1
| Last 10 games | Sheffield Wednesday | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-5 | 3-1-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 0-3-7 | 3-0-7 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Sheffield Wednesday form·Sheffield United form·Head-to-head record