Championship (England) · Sat, May 2 · 11:30 · Sheffield Wednesday vs West Bromwich Albion
Likeliest: West Bromwich Albion win · 48%
A 27% home win. The market says 17%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Sheffield Wednesday27%17%+10
OursMarket
Draw25%21%+4
OursMarket
West Bromwich Albion48%62%−14
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 58% | +2 |
| Both teams score | 55% | 55% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 52% | 38% | +14 |
| Double chance X2 | 73% | 83% | −10 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 79% | −4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 36% | 21% | +15 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Sheffield Wednesday
DrawDrawDrawLossLoss
- Apr 25 · at Oxford United (A)1-4
- Apr 22 · at Middlesbrough (A)0-1
- Apr 18 · v Charlton Athletic (H)1-1
- Apr 11 · at Coventry City (A)0-0
- Apr 6 · v Leicester City (H)1-1
West Bromwich Albion
DrawDrawWinWinDraw
- Apr 25 · v Ipswich Town (H)0-0
- Apr 21 · v Watford (H)3-0
- Apr 18 · at Preston North End (A)2-0
- Apr 10 · v Millwall (H)0-0
- Apr 6 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Sheffield Wednesday | West Bromwich Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-4-6 | 4-6-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 70% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 0-3-7 | 2-5-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Sheffield Wednesday form·West Bromwich Albion form·Head-to-head record