J2 League (Japan) · Sun, Oct 25 · 09:00 · Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi City FC
Likeliest: Tochigi City FC win · 41%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 41% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Shonan Bellmare34%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Tochigi City FC41%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 46% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.4 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Shonan Bellmare
DrawDrawLossDrawDraw
- Oct 17 · at Kataller Toyama (A)1-1
- Oct 11 · v Albirex Niigata (H)1-1
- Oct 7 · at FC Tokyo (A)0-4
- Oct 3 · at Fujieda MYFC (A)1-1
- Sep 26 · at FC Imabari (A)0-0
Tochigi City FC
LossDrawLossLossLoss
- Oct 17 · v Yokohama FC (H)0-1
- Oct 10 · at Ventforet Kofu (A)1-2
- Oct 3 · v FC Imabari (H)1-2
- Sep 26 · at Tokushima Vortis (A)0-0
- Sep 23 · at Machida Zelvia (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Shonan Bellmare | Tochigi City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-7-2 | 2-2-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-4-3 | 2-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.