Superliga (Denmark) · Sun, Oct 25 · 13:00 · Silkeborg IF vs FC Nordsjælland
Likeliest: FC Nordsjælland win · 60%
Likely score: 1–2
A 60% away win. The market says 56%.
4 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Silkeborg IF18%22%−4
OursMarket
Draw22%22%0
OursMarket
FC Nordsjælland60%56%+4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 65% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 64% | 65% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 40% | 44% | −4 |
| Double chance X2 | 82% | 78% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | 78% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 23% | 28% | −5 |
| Expected goals | 1.2 | 1.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Silkeborg IF
DrawDrawWinDrawLoss
- Oct 18 · at Sønderjyske Fodbold (A)0-4
- Oct 11 · v AC Horsens (H)3-3
- Sep 18 · at Lyngby (A)4-0
- Sep 13 · v Viborg FF (H)1-1
- Sep 5 · at AGF (A)2-2
FC Nordsjælland
WinLossDrawDrawDraw
- Oct 18 · at Lyngby (A)3-3
- Oct 15 · at Hearts (A)1-1
- Oct 9 · v Odense Boldklub (H)0-0
- Sep 20 · at Viborg FF (A)1-4
- Sep 16 · at Vinder Vatanspor Vri (A)3-0
| Last 10 games | Silkeborg IF | FC Nordsjælland |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 4-4-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-5-2 | 4-4-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.