Superliga (Denmark) · Sun, Sep 13 · 12:00 · Silkeborg IF vs Viborg FF
Likeliest: Viborg FF win · 53%
A tight one: we make it 53% for the away win. The market says 51%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Silkeborg IF23%26%−2
OursMarket
Draw24%23%0
OursMarket
Viborg FF53%51%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 62% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 64% | 61% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 47% | 49% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 77% | 74% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 77% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 30% | 33% | −3 |
| Expected goals | 1.3 | 1.7 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Silkeborg IF
WinLossLossDrawDraw
- Sep 5 · at AGF (A)2-2
- Aug 30 · v FC Midtjylland (H)1-1
- Aug 24 · at Brøndby IF (A)1-3
- Aug 16 · at FC Nordsjælland (A)0-1
- Aug 10 · v Odense Boldklub (H)1-0
Viborg FF
DrawWinWinWinLoss
- Sep 4 · v Lyngby (H)0-2
- Aug 28 · at AC Horsens (A)3-2
- Aug 23 · v FC København (H)4-0
- Aug 14 · v AGF (H)2-1
- Aug 7 · at Sønderjyske Fodbold (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Silkeborg IF | Viborg FF |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-5 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-4 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.