Premier Division (South Africa) · Sun, Sep 13 · 13:00 · Siwelele FC vs Lamontville Golden Arrows
Likeliest: Lamontville Golden Arrows win · 34%
A tight one: we make it 34% for the away win. The market says 34%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Siwelele FC33%35%−2
OursMarket
Draw34%32%+2
OursMarket
Lamontville Golden Arrows34%34%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 38% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 42% | 41% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | 66% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 67% | 65% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 67% | 68% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 49% | 51% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 0.8 | 0.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Siwelele FC
LossLossDrawLossLoss
- Sep 9 · at Mamelodi Sundowns (A)0-3
- Sep 6 · at Kaizer Chiefs (A)2-3
- Aug 25 · v Chippa United (H)1-1
- Aug 15 · at AmaZulu FC (A)0-2
- Aug 12 · at Milford FC (A)0-1
Lamontville Golden Arrows
DrawDrawDrawWinLoss
- Sep 6 · v Mamelodi Sundowns (H)1-2
- Aug 26 · v Stellenbosch (H)1-0
- Aug 16 · at TS Galaxy (A)0-0
- Aug 12 · at Durban City FC (A)0-0
- Aug 1 · v Chippa United (H)0-0
| Last 10 games | Siwelele FC | Lamontville Golden Arrows |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-5 | 2-7-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.3 | 0.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 80% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-6-0 | 4-4-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.