FNL (Czech Republic) · Sun, Oct 18 · 13:30 · SK Kladno vs Arsenal Česká Lípa
Likeliest: SK Kladno win · 42%
We make it 51% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 41%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
SK Kladno42%49%−8
OursMarket
Draw29%26%+3
OursMarket
Arsenal Česká Lípa30%25%+5
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 59% | −10 |
| Both teams score | 51% | 58% | −7 |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | 75% | −5 |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | 51% | +8 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 74% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | 67% | −8 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SK Kladno
DrawWin
- Oct 10 · at FK Třinec (A)1-0
- Sep 23 · v Baník Ostrava (H)1-1
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Loss
- Oct 10 · v FK Viktoria Žižkov (H)1-2