Czech Cup (Czech Republic) · Wed, Sep 23 · 14:00 · SK Kladno vs Baník Ostrava
Likeliest: SK Kladno win · 50%
We make it 46% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 41%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
SK Kladno50%21%+29
OursMarket
Draw24%24%0
OursMarket
Baník Ostrava27%56%−29
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 59% | −5 |
| Both teams score | 54% | 55% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | 44% | +29 |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | 79% | −29 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 76% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | 27% | +38 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SK Kladno
No recent results tracked.
Baník Ostrava
WinLossLossLossDraw
- Sep 19 · at 1. FC Slovácko (A)2-2
- Sep 13 · v FK Pardubice (H)1-2
- Sep 9 · at FK Jablonec (A)0-3
- Sep 6 · at Mladá Boleslav (A)0-4
- Aug 29 · v SK Sigma Olomouc (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | SK Kladno | Baník Ostrava |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 4-1-5 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 70% |
| Both teams scored | — | 30% |
| Clean sheets | — | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 3-1-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.