Chance Liga (Czech Republic) · Sat, Oct 17 · 16:00 · SK Sigma Olomouc vs FC Slovan Liberec
Likeliest: SK Sigma Olomouc win · 37%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 37% for the home win. The market says 39%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
SK Sigma Olomouc37%39%−2
OursMarket
Draw29%27%+2
OursMarket
FC Slovan Liberec35%34%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 51% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 50% | 53% | −3 |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | 66% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | 61% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 73% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 52% | 53% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 1.1 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SK Sigma Olomouc
LossWinWinLossDraw
- Oct 11 · at FK Teplice (A)1-1
- Sep 20 · v AC Sparta Praha (H)0-3
- Sep 13 · at Viktoria Plzeň (A)3-2
- Sep 5 · v Bohemians Praha 1905 (H)3-0
- Aug 29 · at Baník Ostrava (A)0-1
FC Slovan Liberec
WinWinWinDrawLoss
- Oct 11 · v 1. FC Slovácko (H)0-2
- Sep 19 · at SK Líšeň (A)0-0
- Sep 15 · at FC Sellier & Bellot Vlašim (A)2-0
- Sep 12 · v Mladá Boleslav (H)3-0
- Sep 6 · at FK Jablonec (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | SK Sigma Olomouc | FC Slovan Liberec |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 6-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-3-3 | 5-1-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.