UEFA Women's Champions League (Europe) · Sat, Aug 8 · 18:30 · SK Slavia Praha vs Brøndby IF
Likeliest: SK Slavia Praha win · 50%
A 50% home win. The market says 40%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
SK Slavia Praha50%40%+10
OursMarket
Draw24%24%0
OursMarket
Brøndby IF26%36%−10
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | 64% | +10 |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | 60% | −10 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 76% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | 53% | +13 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SK Slavia Praha
Draw
- Aug 5 · v Rangers LFC (H)1-1
Brøndby IF
Loss
- Aug 5 · at Ajax (A)0-2