Chance Liga (Czech Republic) · Sat, Oct 17 · 13:00 · SK Slavia Praha vs FC Hradec Králové
Likeliest: SK Slavia Praha win · 74%
Likely score: 2–1
We make it 55% for both teams to score. The market says 50%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
SK Slavia Praha74%71%+3
OursMarket
Draw17%18%−1
OursMarket
FC Hradec Králové10%11%−2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 59% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 55% | 50% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 91% | 89% | +2 |
| Double chance X2 | 26% | 29% | −3 |
| Double chance 12 | 83% | 82% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 89% | 86% | +2 |
| Expected goals | 1.8 | 1.0 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SK Slavia Praha
WinWinWinWinLoss
- Oct 13 · at Sabah FK (A)0-2
- Oct 9 · at FC Zlín (A)1-0
- Sep 20 · v Viktoria Plzeň (H)2-1
- Sep 16 · at FK Varnsdorf (A)5-1
- Sep 13 · at FK Teplice (A)2-0
FC Hradec Králové
DrawWinWinLossLoss
- Oct 10 · v SK Líšeň (H)2-4
- Sep 20 · v FK Teplice (H)0-2
- Sep 16 · at 1.FK Příbram (A)2-1
- Sep 13 · at FC Zlín (A)2-1
- Sep 9 · v Viktoria Plzeň (H)0-0
| Last 10 games | SK Slavia Praha | FC Hradec Králové |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-2-2 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-1 | 3-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.