Niké Liga (Slovakia) · Sat, Oct 24 · 13:30 · ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica
Likeliest: ŠK Slovan Bratislava win · 77%
Likely score: 2–0
A 77% home win. The market says 72%.
4 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
ŠK Slovan Bratislava77%72%+4
OursMarket
Draw14%16%−2
OursMarket
Dukla Banská Bystrica10%12%−2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 90% | 88% | +2 |
| Double chance X2 | 24% | 28% | −4 |
| Double chance 12 | 86% | 84% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 89% | 86% | +3 |
| Expected goals | 2.2 | 0.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
ŠK Slovan Bratislava
WinWinDrawLossWin
- Oct 17 · at FC Spartak Trnava (A)3-0
- Oct 14 · v VfB Stuttgart (H)0-3
- Oct 10 · at MFK Skalica (A)1-1
- Sep 19 · at KFC Komárno (A)2-1
- Sep 16 · at FC Nitra (A)3-1
Dukla Banská Bystrica
WinLossWinWinWin
- Oct 18 · v FK Železiarne Podbrezová (H)1-0
- Oct 14 · at MFK Vranov nad Topľou (A)2-0
- Oct 10 · at AS Trenčín (A)1-0
- Sep 19 · at MFK Zemplín Michalovce (A)0-1
- Sep 12 · v MFK Skalica (H)3-2
| Last 10 games | ŠK Slovan Bratislava | Dukla Banská Bystrica |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 5-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-2 | 3-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.