Niké Liga (Slovakia) · Sat, Aug 15 · 16:00 · ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs MFK Ružomberok
Likeliest: ŠK Slovan Bratislava win · 44%
We make it 58% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 39%.
19 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
ŠK Slovan Bratislava44%69%−26
OursMarket
Draw29%19%+10
OursMarket
MFK Ružomberok28%12%+16
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 61% | −19 |
| Both teams score | 44% | 50% | −6 |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | 88% | −16 |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | 31% | +26 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 81% | −10 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | 85% | −24 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
ŠK Slovan Bratislava
WinDrawWinWinWin
- Aug 11 · v Mjällby (H)2-0
- Aug 4 · at Mjällby (A)2-1
- Aug 1 · v FK Železiarne Podbrezová (H)3-0
- Jul 29 · v FC Iberia 1999 (H)1-1
- Jul 26 · at Dukla Banská Bystrica (A)4-0
MFK Ružomberok
DrawLossLoss
- Aug 8 · v FK Železiarne Podbrezová (H)1-4
- Aug 1 · at MFK Skalica (A)1-2
- Jul 26 · v DAC 1904 (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | ŠK Slovan Bratislava | MFK Ružomberok |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-0 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 2.3 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.3 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — |
| Both teams scored | 33% | — |
| Clean sheets | 67% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.