Niké Liga (Slovakia) · Sun, Aug 30 · 15:00 · ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs MFK Zemplín Michalovce
Likeliest: ŠK Slovan Bratislava win · 53%
We make it 51% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 35%.
15 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
ŠK Slovan Bratislava53%69%−16
OursMarket
Draw26%19%+7
OursMarket
MFK Zemplín Michalovce22%12%+10
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 65% | −15 |
| Both teams score | 45% | 54% | −9 |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | 88% | −10 |
| Double chance X2 | 47% | 31% | +16 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 81% | −7 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | 85% | −14 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
ŠK Slovan Bratislava
WinWinDrawWinDraw
- Aug 26 · at NK Celje (A)1-1
- Aug 22 · at FC Košice (A)2-1
- Aug 19 · v NK Celje (H)1-1
- Aug 15 · v MFK Ružomberok (H)5-0
- Aug 11 · v Mjällby (H)2-0
MFK Zemplín Michalovce
LossLossDrawLossWin
- Aug 22 · v MFK Skalica (H)2-0
- Aug 16 · at FC Spartak Trnava (A)0-2
- Aug 8 · v KFC Komárno (H)1-1
- Aug 2 · v MŠK Žilina (H)0-1
- Jul 25 · at FK Železiarne Podbrezová (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | ŠK Slovan Bratislava | MFK Zemplín Michalovce |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-3-0 | 1-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.5 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-0 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.