Niké Liga (Slovakia) · Sun, Sep 13 · 17:00 · ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs MŠK Žilina
Likeliest: ŠK Slovan Bratislava win · 57%
A tight one: we make it 57% for the home win. The market says 56%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
ŠK Slovan Bratislava57%56%+1
OursMarket
Draw22%22%0
OursMarket
MŠK Žilina22%22%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 65% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 65% | 63% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | 78% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 43% | 44% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | 78% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | 72% | +1 |
| Expected goals | 2.1 | 1.4 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
ŠK Slovan Bratislava
WinDrawLossLossLoss
- Sep 9 · at PSG (A)1-6
- Sep 5 · at DAC 1904 (A)0-2
- Aug 30 · v MFK Zemplín Michalovce (H)1-2
- Aug 26 · at NK Celje (A)1-1
- Aug 22 · at FC Košice (A)2-1
MŠK Žilina
LossWinWinWinWin
- Sep 5 · v FK Železiarne Podbrezová (H)3-1
- Aug 30 · at FC Spartak Trnava (A)3-1
- Aug 23 · v KFC Komárno (H)2-1
- Aug 15 · at Dukla Banská Bystrica (A)4-3
- Aug 9 · v MFK Skalica (H)1-3
| Last 10 games | ŠK Slovan Bratislava | MŠK Žilina |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 7-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-1 | 3-0-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.