2. Liga (Austria) · Fri, Aug 28 · 16:30 · SKN St. Pölten vs Austria Salzburg
Likeliest: SKN St. Pölten win · 40%
We make it 70% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 52%.
18 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
SKN St. Pölten40%51%−12
OursMarket
Draw24%25%−1
OursMarket
Austria Salzburg37%24%+13
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 52% | +18 |
| Both teams score | 58% | 51% | +7 |
| Double chance 1X | 63% | 76% | −13 |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | 49% | +12 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 75% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 52% | 68% | −17 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SKN St. Pölten
LossLossLossLoss
- Aug 21 · at FC Wacker Innsbruck (A)0-1
- Aug 14 · v FC Blau Weiss Linz (H)0-1
- Aug 7 · v Young Violets Austria Wien (H)0-1
- Jul 31 · at Floridsdorfer AC (A)0-1
Austria Salzburg
WinWinLossWin
- Aug 21 · v Kapfenberger SV (H)3-2
- Aug 15 · at Young Violets Austria Wien (A)1-3
- Aug 8 · v First Vienna (H)4-1
- Aug 2 · at FC Hertha Wels (A)2-0