2. Liga (Austria) · Sat, Sep 19 · 15:30 · SKN St. Pölten vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Likeliest: SKN St. Pölten win · 54%
A tight one: we make it 54% for the home win. The market says 54%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
SKN St. Pölten54%54%+1
OursMarket
Draw26%25%+1
OursMarket
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz20%21%−2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 58% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 59% | 58% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | 79% | +2 |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | 46% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 75% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | 71% | +2 |
| Expected goals | 1.3 | 1.5 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SKN St. Pölten
LossLossLossWinWin
- Sep 13 · at FC Liefering (A)3-1
- Aug 28 · v Austria Salzburg (H)1-0
- Aug 21 · at FC Wacker Innsbruck (A)0-1
- Aug 14 · v FC Blau Weiss Linz (H)0-1
- Aug 7 · v Young Violets Austria Wien (H)0-1
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
WinDrawWinLossWin
- Sep 12 · v Floridsdorfer AC (H)4-0
- Aug 29 · at Young Violets Austria Wien (A)0-2
- Aug 22 · v Sturm Graz II (H)3-1
- Aug 15 · at ASK Voitsberg (A)0-0
- Aug 8 · v Kapfenberger SV (H)3-2
| Last 10 games | SKN St. Pölten | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-0-4 | 3-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 17% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 17% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 33% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.