UEFA Women's Champions League (Europe) · Sat, Aug 8 · 16:00 · SKN St. Pölten vs Sporting CP
Likeliest: Sporting CP win · 52%
We make it 69% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 56%.
13 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
SKN St. Pölten23%25%−2
OursMarket
Draw25%26%−1
OursMarket
Sporting CP52%49%+3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 56% | +13 |
| Both teams score | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 48% | 51% | −3 |
| Double chance X2 | 77% | 75% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 74% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 31% | 34% | −3 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
SKN St. Pölten
Win
- Aug 5 · v Young Boys (H)4-3
Sporting CP
Win
- Aug 5 · v FC Seasters Odessa (H)5-0