UEFA Women's Champions League (Europe) · Wed, Aug 5 · 16:00 · SKN St. Pölten vs Young Boys
Likeliest: Young Boys win · 48%
A 48% away win. The market says 32%.
17 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
SKN St. Pölten29%41%−12
OursMarket
Draw23%28%−4
OursMarket
Young Boys48%32%+17
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 59% | +1 |
| Both teams score | 59% | 58% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 52% | 68% | −17 |
| Double chance X2 | 71% | 59% | +12 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 72% | +4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 37% | 56% | −19 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.